Satellite TV boom to continue
Wednesday, July 25th, 2012The number of pay DTH (DBS) homes for 80 countries covered in a new report will be 220 million by end-2017, up from 154 million at end-2011 and 91 million at end-2007. India will lead the sector with 50.9 million pay DTH homes in 2017, followed by the US with 36.5 million. Russia (14.7 million) and Brazil (14.6 million) will take third and fourth places respectively.
The Global Satellite TV Forecasts report states that India will add 22.8 million subs, Brazil 7.6 million and Indonesia 6.7 million from the 66 million extra subscribers between 2011 and 2017.
Pay DTH penetration was at 11.1% of TV households at end-2011, and will reach 14.4% by 2017. Penetration in 2017 will be highest in South Africa (60%), Poland (45%) and Ireland (44%). Penetration in Indonesia will climb from 5% in 2011 to 18% by 2017. Conversely, penetration in Malaysia will fall from 47% in 2011 to 38% by 2017 as satellite homes are encouraged to convert to IPTV.
DTH revenues will overtake cable TV revenues in 2015. DTH revenues will reach US$91 billion in 2017, up from US$76 billion in 2011. The US will remain DTH market leader, though its share of the total will fall from 46% in 2011 to 42% in 2017. Brazil will add the most DTH revenues (US$3.86 billion) between 2011 and 2017 – nearly doubling its total in the process. The US will grow by US$3.1 billion, meaning that Brazil and the US will contribute nearly half of the extra revenues.
Report author Simon Murray said: “However, DTH revenues will decline for 17 countries between 2011 and 2017. Much of this is due to greater competition forcing down ARPUs. Furthermore, low-cost DTH packages are making a significant impact in several countries.”
Top 10 pay DTH countries at end-2017
Households (000) Penetration (%) -------------------- ---------------- India 50,891 South Africa 60 USA 36,504 Poland 45 Russia 14,681 Ireland 44 Brazil 14,563 New Zealand 40 UK 10,784 UK 39 Mexico 9,707 Malaysia 38 Indonesia 8,654 Mexico 34 Poland 6,563 USA 30 Italy 5,528 Slovakia 29 South Africa 4,689 Norway 28
Source: Digital TV Research Ltd
Top 10 countries by DTH revenues (US$ million)
2011 2017 -------------------- -------------------- USA 34,901 USA 38,037 UK 6,271 Brazil 8,062 Brazil 4,201 UK 6,747 France 2,908 Mexico 3,092 Canada 2,619 India 2,761 Italy 2,615 Italy 2,745 Mexico 2,147 Canada 2,621 South Africa 1,733 France 2,538 Japan 1,649 South Africa 1,854 Australia 1,504 Japan 1,781
Source: Digital TV Research Ltd
More: Global Satellite TV Forecasts
Links: Market Research Store
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