Massive boom forecast for connected TV

Wednesday, October 9th, 2013 
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The number of TV sets connected to the Internet will reach 759 million by 2018 for 40 countries covered in the Connected TV Forecasts report, up from 115 million at end-2010 and the 307 million expected at end-2013. This translates to 26.8% of global TV sets by 2018, up from only 5.1% at end-2010 and 12.4% by end-2013.

Connected TV is becoming more international. The US will still command a third of connected TV sets by end-2013, but this proportion will fall to 23.5% by 2018. China will climb from 6.6% of the 2013 total to 16.4% by 2018.

2010-2018
Source: Digital TV Research

Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: “Connected TV is undergoing the largest upheaval in its short history. The introduction of affordable devices such as Google’s Chromecast and Sky’s Now TV are shaking up the market, with connected TV set manufacturers already reducing their prices as a reaction to this increased rivalry. The introduction of three next-generation games consoles adds further competition.”

Chromecast and similar products are likely to have a considerable impact. The global total of connected TV sets via streaming/retail settop boxes will reach 126 million in 2018, up from only 4 million in 2010. The 34 million expected by end-2013 is double the 2012 total.

Fixed games consoles will be boosted by the launch of three next-generation consoles (Wii U, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One). The new consoles are good news for connected TV as they require an Internet connection for users to obtain full access to games. The Internet connection also allows games players to watch web-delivered TV and video programs. The number of connected games consoles will rise to 176 million by 2018; double the 2012 total.

However, the number of installed smart TV sets will overtake games consoles connected to the web during 2013. Smart TV sets will account for 34% of the 2018 total connected sets, or 259 million. There were 31 million installed smart TV sets by end-2010, and this total will rocket to 110 million by end-2013.

Pay TV operators also want a slice of the action. Although it is yet to take off too much (with Liberty Global/UPC experiencing mixed results so far for its Horizon box), connected TV via the pay TV settop box has plenty of potential as operators strive to retain their subscribers. So, from humble beginnings, there will be 117 million sets accessing the Internet via the pay TV settop box by end-2018.

Despite limited take-up so far, blu-ray players will be important in the connected TV expansion, with 81 million connections forecast by 2018 – or nearly double the end-2013 total.

More: Connected TV Forecasts

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