Smart Home shipments to decline slightly in 2022

Smart Home Shipments Forecast to Decline Slightly in 2022 with Modest Growth Expected in 2023, According to IDC Tracker

NEEDHAM, Mass. — Worsening macroeconomic conditions have led a reduction in the outlook for global smart home device shipments according to the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Smart Home Device Tracker. Worldwide shipments of smart home devices are now expected to decline 2.6% in 2022 to 874 million units with smart speakers and video entertainment devices such as TV and streaming devices facing the brunt of the decline.

“Shipments of smart home devices have been impacted significantly by ongoing supply chain disruptions,” said Adam Wright, senior research manager, Smart Home and Office Devices. “Moreover, we’re witnessing downward pressure on demand in 2022 as inflation continues to squeeze consumers’ wallets. Looking ahead, we expect volatility will continue to inhibit the market’s growth in 2023 and beyond.”

Though the global market is forecast to return to growth in 2023, it will remain relatively low at 4.6% with most of the growth coming from emerging markets as well as China. “Though smart speakers arguably helped launch the smart home category, the shine of these products has largely worn off for consumers in developed markets such as the United States and China with shipments expected to decline in the long run,” said Jitesh Ubrani, research manager for IDC’s Mobility and Consumer Device Trackers. “Smart speakers will now rely on emerging markets and places like Europe where language and lack of services have been a barrier to adoption in the past.”

Among the other form factors, home monitoring/security products such as cameras, doorbells, or door locks, as well as smart lighting and video entertainment products will account for the largest share and experience the highest growth rates within the smart home market.

Smart Home Devices by Forecast Shipment Volume, Market Share, and Five-Year CAGR, Q3 2022
(shipments in millions)

                               2022          2022       2026          2026       CAGR
Category                  Shipments  Market Share  Shipments  Market Share  2022-2026
------------------------  ---------  ------------  ---------  ------------  ---------
Video Entertainment           296.1         33.9%      325.9         27.4%       2.4%
Home Monitoring/Security      188.6         21.6%      266.1         22.4%       9.0%
Lighting                       94.7         10.8%      213.5         18.0%      22.6%
Smart Speaker                 116.4         13.3%      132.9         11.2%       3.4%
Thermostat                     24.8          2.8%       31.3          2.6%       6.0%
Others                        153.5         17.6%      219.3         18.4%       9.3%
                          ---------  ------------  ---------  ------------  ---------
Total                         874.0        100.0%    1,189.1        100.0%       8.0%

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Smart Home Device Tracker, December 22, 2022