As Format War Ends, 29 Million Blu-ray Homes Expected This Year

Tuesday, March 25th, 2008

Format War Ends

LONDON, England — The Blu-ray Disc victory in its recent format war with HD-DVD will propel this technology into 29.4 million homes worldwide by the end of 2008, according to the latest research published by the Strategy Analytics Connected Home Devices service. According to, “Blu-ray Devices: Forecasting Sales and Ownership,” Sony’s PS3 games console will continue to drive the Blu-ray market until 2009, after which stand-alone Blu-ray players will become the dominant segment. By 2012 more than 132 million homes worldwide will own at least one Blu-ray device.

“HD-DVD’s withdrawal leaves the way open for Blu-ray to become a major revenue earner for technology vendors and content owners alike,” says David Mercer, Principal Analyst. “The 265 million homes that will own an HDTV by 2012, and Hollywood’s need for a new growth engine, represent huge incentives for the industry to coordinate marketing activities and demonstrate unified support for the successor to DVD.”

This Strategy Analytics report predicts that global sales of Blu-ray devices will reach 18.8 million units in 2008, including 4 million stand-alone players, 13 million consoles and nearly 2 million PCs. By 2012, annual sales of all BD devices will reach 57.4 million units. The largest market will be in Europe, with 26.4 million, followed by the US (22.6 million) and Japan (8.4 million).

Blu-ray Disc Devices: Household Penetration Forecast

Percent of All Households With At Least One BD Device

         2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012 
         ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----
Japan      0%    2%    6%   15%   26%   38%   48%   55%    
US         0%    1%    4%   10%   20%   29%   38%   44%    
Europe     0%    0%    2%    7%   13%   20%   26%   32%

Source: Strategy Analytics’ Connected Home Devices service